Hayloo’s Beta Desk. Beta is how far a coin travels when Bitcoin moves a dollar: above 1.00 it amplifies, below 1.00 it lags. The beta desk splits that by direction — what a coin catches on Bitcoin’s up-days against what it hands back on the down-days. Hand back more than you catch and your portfolio is paying the altcoin tax. This week the whole board rests on a single move. What follows are real measurements leaning very hard on one price rally
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Nothing at Hayloo INC. was ever decided by a machine.
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Ethereum leads the week. ETH caught 205 cents of every Bitcoin up-dollar against 124 handed back, the widest gap on the board, and its 60-day beta went from 1.27 to 1.54 in a single session. We’ll want more down-days in the math before anyone calls ETH’s run a regime.
Solana’s gap reopened. SOL caught 122 cents against 76 handed back, and that 0.76 on the downside sits in the bottom eleven percent of everything Solana has ever printed. Alts with revenue and a story appear to have found a floor to stand on. Solana’s outperform run is 884 days against a 331-day median, the longest in its record — that one is a regime, not a coincidence.
XRP crossed, and the tag is one day old. XRP caught 134 cents against 83 handed back and has held the favourable side of the trade for 67 days. Its 60-day beta bottomed at 0.95 on the 17th, deep in lagging territory, and by Wednesday all three windows had crossed above the line together. Five straight weeks of narrowing tax gap, erased in one session. Coins in heavily regulated corners like XRP ran on bond plumbing and CLARITY Act hopes. Nothing here is settled.
The basket is the one still paying. Take the altcoins outside Bitcoin, Ether and the stablecoins as a single class and the desk reads 33 cents caught on the way up against 85 handed back on the way down. Two and a half times more downside than upside, a deafening asymmetry. This is the cycle sorting the shitcoin goats from the altcoin sheep. The big dying is under way, and the crowd only notices because parts of the market have simply stopped existing.
Bitcoin dominance Bitcoin’s share of total crypto market value reads 56.6%, under its 50-day average of 58.2 and its 150-day at 59.2. Falling dominance is money rotating from Bitcoin into altcoins.
What is solid and what is soft.
Solid: the regime tags and persistence counts, computed on full histories. Soft, and precisely so: three of the four had their week decided by one move.
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